Risk events

Fed Sees Oil Prices Cooling Despite Renewed Iran War

The Federal Reserve still thinks energy prices are headed lower even as missiles are flying again in the Middle East. New York Fed President John Williams said Thursday that the market's expectation for oil prices to ease over the next six to 12 months remains "a pretty reasonable baseline," despite the collapse of the U.S.-Iran ceasefire framework and renewed attacks threatening energy flows through the Strait of Hormuz. That optimism may prove difficult to maintain. Oil markets have spent the

Goldman Sachs Sounds Alarm Over Fresh Threat to Global Oil Supplies

A week after it warned that an oil glut is coming, Goldman Sachs has done a U-turn, warning that the renewed hostilities in the Persian Gulf threaten an extended supply disruption. “While Middle Eastern producers have started reopening their shut-in wells over the last month, Hormuz disruptions could slow down the production recovery,” the bank’s commodity analysts said, as quoted by Bloomberg. They added that Middle East oil production remains 10.5 million barrels daily below pre-war levels. “T

Business ticker: USA reinstates oil sanctions against Iran

After attacks in the Strait of Hormuz +++ Companies increase production more than expected +++ DHL raises annual forecast +++ News in the company live blog.

Russia Turns Asia’s Oil Shock Into an Indonesian Opening

Russia has emerged as one of the clearest commercial beneficiaries of the US-Israel war with Iran. Before March 2026, buying Russian crude was widely treated as a sanctions risk that only Chinese and, to a lesser extent, Indian private companies could comfortably absorb. The first US waiver for Russian barrels, announced on March 12, changed that calculation. It showed that, during a major Middle Eastern supply disruption, Asia could not balance its oil market without Russian crude, and even Was

ECB reports on progress towards euro adoption

Traders Question How Much Iranian Oil Can Really Return to Market

US-Iran talks and a 60-day sanctions waiver have eased supply fears, but traders remain cautious on the outlook for Iranian oil exports. From War Shock to Weather Shock: Super El Niño Threatens Fresh Commodity Chaos - Record high sea temperatures in the Pacific Ocean are paving the way for an unprecedentedly severe ‘Super’ El Niño, with equatorial temperatures currently 1.7C above the 30-year average. - This summer would witness the largest temperature deviation from the historical average for t

Britain’s Energy Crisis Is Driving Manufacturing Offshore

The UK risks a major wave of deindustrialization and widespread factory closures unless the government expands emergency relief measures for manufacturers battling soaring energy costs, a prominent manufacturing trade body has warned, as reported by the Guardian. According to a June 2026 survey by Make UK and the Trades Union Congress (TUC), Britain faces an imminent risk of industrial collapse unless the government provides immediate financial relief to protect manufacturers from surging energy

Republicans blast Iran agreement as details emerge

One Republican senator called the framework pact announced this week the “worst foreign policy blunder in decades.”

Oil Prices Crash as Traders Bet the War Is Over

The oil market just did something remarkable. After spending months pricing in tanker attacks, shut-in production, damaged LNG facilities, and the largest supply disruption in modern oil market history, traders are suddenly betting the crisis is ending. Brent crude futures fell below $79 per barrel on Tuesday, its lowest level since March, after the United States and Iran digitally signed a peace agreement that includes the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz and the immediate return of Iranian oi

Iran war: Will the global energy crisis end soon?

A US-Iran deal to end the war and reopen the Strait of Hormuz could ease the global energy crunch, but oil prices and supplies may take months to stabilize as shipping restarts and infrastructure recovers.

China's Fusion Reactor on Track for Ignition by 2027, Threatening U.S. Lead

China is working toward a major nuclear fusion milestone that will put it leagues ahead in the global race to unlock the ‘holy grail’ of clean energy. The Experimental Advanced Superconducting Tokamak (EAST) is reportedly on track to achieve ignition in 2027, potentially making the tokamak the first nuclear fusion reactor in the world to sustain plasma without external heating sources. This would be a critical milestone toward enabling commercial nuclear fusion. Nuclear fusion is the process tha

Paris defense show may be last chance to buy before war, CEO says

Surging defense spending means Eurosatory is bigger than ever this year, with the number of exhibitors rising 30% to more than 2,600, per the organizer.

Oil Could Hit $150 If U.S.-Iran Ceasefire Collapses

Oil prices could hit $150 per barrel if hostilities between the United States and Iran escalate further from the current, most testing period in the ceasefire, according to intelligence firm Rystad Energy. Renewed hostilities would further deepen the supply shut-ins in the Middle East as the war risk and the near-closed Strait of Hormuz continue to pressure upstream production, the Norway-based energy research company said. “At this stage, it is too early to say whether the current escalation ma

Washington Walks a Tightrope After Striking Iran

The US strikes on Iranian air defense and radar systems appear intended as a limited warning to Tehran rather than the opening salvo of a broader military campaign, according to senior US officials and regional security experts. The attacks targeted several Iranian air defense and radar systems, with another US official telling RFE/RL that the operation was "ongoing" and focused on air defenses and radar installations. Iranian state media reported explosions in several locations across Hormozgan

Oil Market Flying Blind as Dark Tanker Traffic Surges in Hormuz

Tanker traffic through the Strait of Hormuz has collapsed by 90% to 95% compared to pre-war levels, analysts concur. Some oil cargoes continue to trickle through the critical chokepoint, but under increasingly opaque operating conditions, complicating the tracking of oil and gas flows and obscuring the visibility of how much energy supply actually reaches buyers these days. Traffic appears to have ramped up in recent weeks, according to an analysis of shipping data by Reuters energy columnist Ro

Iraq Targets 770,000 bpd Through Ceyhan as Southern Output Climbs Back

Iraq has restarted production at some of its most important oil fields, including West Qurna 1, Majnoon and Fauqi, lifting national output back to roughly 1.5-1.6 million barrels per day after the collapse triggered by the Hormuz crisis, according to IraqiNews. Iraq has spent the past three months confronting a dangerous economic oil dependency caused by the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, and the rebound still keeps Iraq far below the more than 4 million bpd Iraq was producing before the regio

EU Backs Sanctions Relief Path If Iran Accepts Strict Conditions

Any temporary peace agreement between the United States and Iran must be followed by deeper talks about Tehran’s nuclear stockpiles, missiles, and other critical issues, European Union foreign policy chief Kaja Kallas said. Speaking at a news conference in Islamabad on June 1, Kallas, the EU high representative for foreign affairs and security policy, said she sees a "tenuous diplomatic opening" to extend the current temporary cease-fire and reopen the Strait of Hormuz despite an exchange of att

Iran war: Oil shortages threaten global energy security

Strategic petroleum reserves are declining rapidly as countries release emergency crude supplies to cushion the economic impact of the Middle East conflict.

US munitions depleted by Iran war will take years to restore, analysis finds

Replenishing stockpiles of critical weapons systems could take until 2030 or 2031, creating a "window of vulnerability," a new analysis found.

Kevin Warsh takes oath of office as chairman and a member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, and the Federal Open Market Committee unanimously selects Warsh as its chairman

Kevin Warsh takes oath of office as chairman and a member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, and the Federal Open Market Committee unanimously selects Warsh as its chairman

Iran Is Tightening Its Grip on the Strait of Hormuz

Shortly after the outbreak of the war with the United States and Israel, Iran took control of the Strait of Hormuz, a key artery for global oil and gas supplies. By threatening and attacking international shipping, Iran brought maritime traffic to a virtual standstill, giving it significant leverage over its neighbors in the Persian Gulf and the global economy. Now, the Islamic Republic is formalizing its dominance over the strategic chokepoint by imposing a new transit regime. That is despite r

Identitätsmissbrauch: Bafin warnt auch vor der Website goldridgepartners(.)com

Die Finanzaufsicht Bafin warnt vor Angeboten auf der Website goldridgepartners(.)com. Es besteht der Verdacht, dass die unbekannten Betreiber der Website ohne Erlaubnis Finanz- und Wertpapierdienstleistungen anbieten. Die Angebote stammen entgegen der Angaben auf der Website nicht von der Golding Capital Partners GmbH mit Sitz in München. Es handelt sich um einen Identitätsmissbrauch.

fluxorbeam-ai(.)com / thefluxorbeamaitoday(.)com / fluxorbeam-ai(.)com / the-fluxorbeamai(.)org: Bafin warnt vor Websites

Die Finanzaufsicht Bafin warnt vor Angeboten auf den Websites fluxorbeam-ai(.)com, thefluxorbeamaitoday(.)com, fluxorbeam-ai(.)com sowie the-fluxorbeamai(.)org. Verbraucherinnen und Verbraucher werden dazu verleitet, vermeintliche Handelskonten auf den zuvor genannten Websites zu erstellen und persönliche Daten preiszugeben. Es besteht der Verdacht, dass die unbekannten Betreiber dort ohne die erforderliche Erlaubnis Bankgeschäfte, Finanz-, Wertpapier-, Kryptowerte-Dienstleistungen oder Zahlungs

ravion-cryptiq-ai(.)net / ravioncryptiqai(.)org / ravioncryptiqai-system(.)com: Bafin warnt vor Websites

Die Finanzaufsicht Bafin warnt vor Angeboten auf den Websites ravion-cryptiq-ai(.)net, ravioncryptiqai(.)org und ravioncryptiqai-system(.)com. Verbraucherinnen und Verbraucher werden dazu verleitet, vermeintliche Handelskonten auf den zuvor genannten Websites zu erstellen und persönliche Daten preiszugeben. Es besteht der Verdacht, dass die unbekannten Betreiber dort ohne die erforderliche Erlaubnis Bankgeschäfte, Finanz-, Wertpapier-, Kryptowerte-Dienstleistungen oder Zahlungsdienste anbieten.

Identitätsmissbrauch: Bafin warnt vor der Website ecco-management(.)com

Die Finanzaufsicht Bafin warnt vor Angeboten auf der Website ecco-management(.)com. Es besteht der Verdacht, dass die unbekannten Betreiber ohne Erlaubnis Finanz- und Wertpapierdienstleistungen anbieten.

Mirax LTD: Bafin warnt vor Angeboten auf der Website miralim(.)com

Die Finanzaufsicht Bafin warnt vor Angeboten auf der Webseite miralim(.)com. Nach ihren Erkenntnissen bietet dort der Betreiber Mirax LTD, angeblich aus London, UK, ohne Erlaubnis Finanz- und Wertpapierdienstleistungen an. Der Betreiber behauptet wahrheitswidrig, in Großbritannien, Australien und auf Zypern reguliert zu sein. Das trifft nicht zu.

DEX Capital: Bafin warnt vor Angeboten auf der Website dexcpt(.)com

Die Bafin warnt vor Angeboten auf der Webseite dexcpt(.)com. Nach Erkenntnissen der Finanzaufsicht bietet dort der Betreiber DEX Capital angeblich aus Hooglede, Belgien, ohne Erlaubnis Finanz- und Wertpapierdienstleistungen an. Der Betreiber tritt an Anlegerinnen und Anleger heran, um auf anderen Online-Handelsplattformen ausgebliebene Auszahlungen angeblich zurückzuführen. Zu einer Auszahlung kommt es aber auch nach Begleichung einer Provision nicht.

SKF-Beratung: Bafin warnt vor Jobangeboten und weist auf Identitätsmissbrauch hin

Die Finanzaufsicht Bafin warnt vor Jobangeboten als „Mitarbeiter in der Verwaltung - Homeoffice“, die auf der Webseite skf-beratung(.)com angeboten wurden. Es besteht der Verdacht, dass die unbekannten Betreiber ohne Erlaubnis Zahlungsdienste und Kryptowerte-Dienstleistungen anbieten. Entgegen der Angaben auf der Webseite sowie in den Arbeitsverträgen besteht kein Zusammenhang mit der Bini Rock IT GmbH mit Sitz in München. Die Bini Rock IT GmbH ist nicht Betreiberin der Website skf-beratung.com

Warnung vor unberechtigten Konto-Abbuchungen

Die Finanzaufsicht Bafin warnt vor unberechtigten SEPA-Lastschrifteinzügen. Sie rät Verbraucherinnen und Verbrauchern, regelmäßig ihre Kontobewegungen zu prüfen. Bei nicht-autorisierte Abbuchungen sollten sie schnell ihre Bank kontaktieren.

We Are Hiring! 20 Vacancies Available at NATO Joint Warfare Centre Before the End of 2026 - jwc.nato.int

We Are Hiring! 20 Vacancies Available at NATO Joint Warfare Centre Before the End of 2026 jwc.nato.int

„KI braucht das Vertrauen der Kundinnen und Kunden“

Wenn Versicherer KI fest in ihren Geschäftsprozessen verankern, können sie und ihre Versicherten profitieren. Das betonte Julia Wiens, Exekutivdirektorin Versicherungs- und Pensionsfondsaufsicht, bei der InsureNXT am 21. Mai 2026 in Köln. Sie machte auch deutlich, was die Bafin von den Unternehmen erwartet.