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war-conflict · severity 1/5

Oil down 6%, the 30-year fell, and the real yield wouldn't move. Someone tell me what I'm missing.

·2hSocial

Oil's down 6% on the Iran peace, the nominal 30-year fell almost a full percent today, and the real yield wouldn't come down with either of them. DFII30 (or TIP actually tradeable) sat at 2.73, right at the top of its range. Peace drains inflation expectations and that should pull the whole yield structure lower, but the inflation piece left and the real cost of money stayed put. Gold and silver rallied on top of it. Can someone clear the air, because here's what I see. Oil and yields are joined

TickersDFII, TIPChannelsoil_gas, commodities, bonds, inflation_rates, stocksCountriesusa, iranCategoriessocial-signal
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Published
6/16/2026, 5:47:50 PM
Fetched
6/16/2026, 6:07:03 PM
Confidence
30 / 100
Relevance
28 / 100
Trust
Language
en