Finance news

Bond yields are falling as inflation pops. The Fed’s tough talk under Warsh is helping.

Kevin Warsh, the new Federal Reserve chair, is helping coax Treasury yields lower by talking tough on inflation.

Why the Trump-Xi relationship may be the weakest link in US-China ties

As the summit between Chinese President Xi Jinping and US President Donald Trump fades in the rear-view mirror, marked by anaemic deliverables, poor transparency and missed opportunities, analysts and former US officials point to another disappointment: the world’s most consequential relationship has become inordinately dependent on the two nations’ top leaders. Trump’s May China trip, the first by a US president in nearly a decade, produced vague and contradictory readouts, puffed up promises,.

Brent Erases Iran War Premium as Hormuz Flows Show Signs of Recovery

Oil prices tumbled as markets bet Strait of Hormuz disruptions will ease, with Brent down 10% on the week and Middle East crude benchmarks slipping into contango. Friday, June 26, 2026 Whilst ship transits through the Strait of Hormuz remain a fraction of their previous norm (130-140 transits per day), plunging crude oil prices suggest the commodity markets anticipate that flows would start to recover sooner than later. The two Middle Eastern crude benchmarks, Dubai and Murban, have flipped into

Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari says he expects a rate hike this year

Kashkari said he sees a hike likely this year as the economy continues to feel the hit from spiking inflation.

Former US national security adviser John Bolton pleads guilty to illegally having top secret info

Former Trump administration national security adviser John Bolton pleaded guilty on Friday to illegally retaining classified information, sealing a deal with federal prosecutors that could allow him to avoid a prison term. Bolton, who became an outspoken critic of President Donald Trump after serving in the Republican’s first administration, is scheduled to be sentenced on October 28 by US District Judge Theodore Chuang in Greenbelt, Maryland. Bolton, 77, pleaded guilty to a single count of...

Trump eases pressure on Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh as inflation tops 4%

President Donald Trump's economic advisors are giving Warsh space, as the new Fed chairman, on interest rates as the president repeats calls to cut.

EIA Sees USA Energy Demand Dropping in 2026, Rising in 2027

In its latest short term energy outlook, the U.S. Energy Information Administration projected that U.S. total energy consumption will decrease in 2026 then rise in 2027.

‘I’ll happily wait’: Does delaying Social Security make sense for high earners like me?

“In many states, Social Security benefits are exempt from state income tax.”

‘We love guns’: school shooting exposes reality of Philippine crisis

Monday’s school shooting in the Philippines that killed three students and injured dozens has highlighted the decades-long problem of gun proliferation in the country, easy access to weapons despite theoretically strict laws – and Filipinos’ fascination with firearms. One shocking issue that emerged after videos of the shooting were posted online was the quantity of bullets fired and the teenaged shooters’ seeming familiarity with weapons. Officers recovered 21 fired cartridge cases, seven lead.

Imposter scams led fraud reports to the FTC for fifth straight year in 2025, causing $3.5 billion in losses

The amount lost to imposter scams is part of $15.9 billion in total fraud losses reported to the Federal Trade Commission in 2025

Taxi headquarters: Uber partner takes over Frankfurt taxi headquarters

Frankfurt's largest taxi center will become part of the SafeDriver Group, which works closely with Uber. The declared goal is more sales for the taxi industry.

Hormuz Shipping Confidence Is Still Shaky

Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz has picked up over the past week but shipowners remain cautious about transiting, especially after the Thursday attack in the Gulf of Oman on a vessel that had just cleared the chokepoint. On Friday morning local time, two tankers carrying crude were moving out of the Strait while four empty supertankers were traveling inbound near the Omani coast, according to vessel-tracking data monitored by Bloomberg. While some traffic has been observed on Friday, the Th

Shipping rebounds in Strait of Hormuz one week after U.S.-Iran deal – but fragile confidence threatens recovery

Shipping traffic through the strategically vital Strait of Hormuz is recovering one week after the U.S. and Iran signed an interim peace deal.

US and allies flex military muscle on China’s doorstep with multi-front drills

When Japan quietly deployed members of its elite airborne brigade for parachute drills in the Philippines’ northernmost province earlier this month, the exercise was not vigorously publicised by officials on either side. The drills on Batan Island, in the Batanes province, formed part of Kamandag – a countrywide mission jointly hosted by Philippine and US marines that ran until Wednesday. Involving some 2,000 troops, the exercise was designed to improve readiness, interoperability and...

ECB survey: Consumers expect slightly lower inflation

After the Iran agreement, consumers' hopes are growing that price increases will be curbed. From the ECB's perspective, the risk of inflation has not yet been averted.

China tests satellite-linked tracking device on China-Europe railway to stop cargo thieves

A potential hi-tech upgrade to BeiDou-based rail monitoring systems could better protect and track containers on the transcontinental China-Europe railway express, according to the developers of a new mountable device. A team drawn from various state-owned railway enterprises said the device could overcome long-standing logistics challenges in real-time rail container tracking and improve security and safety along the vital land shipping route. The China Railway team examined the existing...

ECB Consumer Expectations Survey results – May 2026

Why Chinese exporters and shipping firms remain wary despite the US-Iran peace deal

Iran and the United States may have entered a temporary ceasefire, but uncertainty over the agreement continues to cast a shadow over the operations of Chinese businesses across the Gulf region. While the deal has raised hopes that business activity could gradually resume, many traders and investors remain reluctant to make long-term commitments. For Abbas Shi, a Chinese businessman who has been helping connect Chinese companies with Iranian partners since 2024, the immediate priority is...

Economic Challenges: Alan Greenspan and the end of a paradigm – Can monetary policy still guarantee price stability?

For Bert Rürup and Michael Hüther, the death of the long-time Fed chairman Alan Greenspan is cause for a fundamental question: Is the classic concept of the independent central bank as the guardian of price stability still relevant?

Inflation: Everything is getting more expensive, but why not this meatloaf roll?

The meat loaf roll from the Globus supermarket chain has cost one euro since the euro came into existence. About 30 million are sold every year. What does this mean for the company – and what does it mean for us?

FedEx Freight takes a step forward in its independent journey. Here's why we like the stock

FedEx Freight had plenty of encouraging things to say on its first earnings call as a standalone company.

Chicago Fed President Goolsbee says inflation is too high; Williams sees price pressures easing

In a live CNBC interview from his home district, Goolsbee declined to speculate on where he thinks interest rates are headed.

The Pentagon’s research infrastructure is ‘deteriorating,’ study finds

Pentagon research has been hampered by backlogged security clearances, limited funds to build or refurbish labs and a slow and difficult hiring process.

Oil Rebounds After Hormuz Ship Attack

Crude rallied as new shipping disruptions overshadowed expectations of increasing global oil supplies and weaker demand.

Lithium Prices Tumble As Traders Brace For CATL Supply Surge

Lithium carbonate futures in China fell ~10% over two trading sessions, dropping to a 10-week low of approximately 157,000 yuan ($23,175) per tonne on Tuesday following market speculation that China’s EV battery giant, Contemporary Amperex Technology Co. (CATL), may soon restart its massive Jianxiawo mine. Reports from authorities in Jiangxi Province show that CATL’s Jianxiawo lithium mine in Yichun passed a preliminary land pre-review and site selection, with the Jiangxi Provincial Department o

Judge blocks Trump's rule limiting federal student loans for certain grad school borrowers

A federal judge temporarily blocked Trump's limits on how much certain graduate students can borrow. That policy was set to go into effect July 1.

‘Alligator Alcatraz’ migrant detention centre has closed, Florida governor DeSantis says

“Alligator Alcatraz”, the remote Florida immigration detention centre that faced harsh criticism for its conditions, has shut down nearly a year after opening, Governor Ron DeSantis said on Thursday. DeSantis said the centre at an isolated airstrip in the Everglades was always meant to be only temporary until more permanent detention facilities could be secured, and federal officials now have that capacity. “It served its purpose for the time,” the Republican governor said at a news...

Bayer’s stock jumps after Supreme Court sides with Roundup weedkiller manufacturer

The court ruled that states cannot have differing labeling warning rules than federal law requires.

Core PCE inflation rises to 3.4% making Fed hikes soon very likely

Core PCE inflation just got released and went up from 3.3% to 3.4% so certainly not going back to the Fed's target of 2%. Headline PCE inflation even hit 4.1%. Consumer spending also came in stronger than expected rising 0.7% for the month of May. Different firms like Citadel already expected hiking to start in September but even a hike at the July meeting is now possible combined with shrinking the Fed's balance which could push up bond yields. submitted by /u/ThinkBigger01 [link] [comments]

Standard broker watchlists are boring and designed to make retail lose money. (A former Big 5 Strategist's perspective).

Hey everyone. I spent a few years on the institutional side working as a Big 5 banking strategist, and honestly, watching retail get chopped up during these high volatility weeks is brutal. The biggest issue I saw from the inside is that retail tools are basically just noise generators. Your standard brokerage watchlist is just a static list of red and green numbers. It tracks price, sure, but it completely fails to track conviction. When things get volatile, people panic, follow trailing moment